Sunday, May 26, 2019

Delhi government now reaches the doorsteps of citizen to deliver public services

A kind of first time in the world, Delhi government offers diverse public services at the doorsteps of people with subsidized rates. Now the citizens do not want to be in the brave snaking queues and bribe to for getting services from the government offices. The flagship programme was launched aiming at curbing touts and to make citizen empowered by getting hassle free government services. It is being considered as a pioneer programme to make governance effective and citizen friendly.

The ambitious scheme 'doorstep delivery of public services' was kicked-off in last September with 40 services. 30 more are to be added soon. Government plans roll out a total of hundred services in coming months. 

This enables the Delhiites apply for income certificate, caste certificate, vehicle registration, seasonal bus pass, pay motor vehicle tax, water connections etc right from their homes with just 50 rupees. In Order to avail the service, citizen just wants to call 1076, the 24x7 call centre dedicated for the doorstep delivery purpose and make an appointment on their convenient slots. A mobile sahayak (government facilitator) will reach the location of the applicant to collect documents and to apply for the services. Certificates will be delivered in 15 days at their doorstep. Citizen will be offered with timely updates of the progress of application processing. They can also reach the call centre to track the progress of their application and raise complaints any.

So far, 1012326 calls were received at the call centre. There are 120 mobile sahayaks and 180 call centre executives work with the programme.

The Modi Effect

2019 is only Modi Effect

After the general election, there see a lot of frustration and self righteous rage among intellectual hubris and liberals who predicted doom of BJP. The Modi effect was suffice to score over all other agenda.

At the outset, many myths are to be set apart. Clamours over voting machine were proved futile as no variations happened with the count of VVPATs. Second, communal politics was not the sole reason for BJP resurgence as around 10% increase of muslim vote share of BJP has observed. Thirdly, BJP votes increased in the categories like overall 6%, rural 10%, SC/ST 17 % and farmers 5 %. By and large all caste equations went wrong especially in UP - the gateway to Delhi.

The big reason behind the BJP sweep is that this election was purely a 'Presidential style electoral campaign' where people could see only MODI as a their leader. The scattered opposition terribly failed to project a national leader as an alternative to MODI.

The Hindu Lokniti survey revealed that one of every three of those who voted for BJP would have voted differently if Modi not been the PM candidate.  In the case of supporters of other NDA alliance, a fourth said that if not for the PM they would not have voted for the party.

BJP is an ethno national party,  infact with the exception of UP and Chhatisgarh entire central and north India is now firmly in the thrall of BJP leaving no space for any opposition. It's is a fact that having a cadre structure,  BJP and RSS wrere strategically worked at grassroots to assure that developmental schemes are reached at people. Many takers of gas, toilet, bank account, farm benefit scheme etc. were seen cheering for Modi that turned to votes.

Though Balakot attack was not directly influenced voters, the emerged nationalists thoughts certainty boosted the persona and leadership capability of Modi to a large extent. BJP cleverly handled media to get rid from negative spread of the party and Modi. Also, when opposition deralied in uniting against BJP, Amit Sha the Chanakyan of BJP succeed to tie key alliances. But, the weak opposition certainly triggered the surge of NDA. Being the ruling party, there was no dearth for fund in NDA.

The 'chowkidar' campagin was seen not accepted by the mass as people perceived Modi as a honest man with no lucrative personal ambitions. Still he managed to win the populace with his charisma.

Modi during second term see more as a minority focused. Yet, RSS is at the top gear and Modi supposed to yield to the Hindutwa agenda. Let's wait and watch whether Modi and Amit Shah duo continue with destabilizing constitutional establishments by saffronizing the country. At last we need an inclusive, equitable and sustainable India where secularism prevails.

Saturday, May 25, 2019

Setback for AAP in Delhi

After a huge setback in Delhi , Aravind Kejriwal is now willing to work together with Narendra Modi accepting the mandate of people. In Delhi the real losers are AAP.  When BJP increased its vote share 10% ( 46.63 to 56.60) in terms of 2014 vote share and congress bounced back with 15.22 % to 22.43 %  registering an increase of 7.21%,  AAP dropped 14.93%,  having a dip from 33.08 % to 18.15 %. As per report, three AAP candidates are likely to lose deposit.

Even though the pre-poll arithmetic suggested AAP-Congress alliance would defeat BJP, post poll data proved other wise. Its atleast less than five percentage of the BJP in each seat. The alliance in west together got only 37.38% while BJP got 60.06. How ever, the impact of real alliance would have different.

After the sweep, BJP eyes Delhi assembly by utilizing the momentum. Party workers had been instructed to focus on AAP vote bank (slums and unauthorized colonies) cementing booth level activities and sensitizing people about the huge benefits of same government both at centre and state to counter AAP statehood plank and unfulfilled promises of AAP.

At the same time, some independent observers foresee the possibility of of imminent clashes between governments and aubsequent suspension of Delhi Govt to expedite the transition. The impact of Modi, revival of congress and challenges to deliver key promises, AAP awaits struggling times ahead.
(Inputs : The Hindu)

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Half Baked Exit Polls

Why online Exit polls fail?
The Exit Poll Results sound hyperbolic to many as it looks too far from realities even to the expectations of  the winning parties. It's a fact that exit polls were proved wrong in all cases where no apprent anti ncumbency  prevailed. Irrespective of accuracy, here are the reasons:

1. Hoax Barging :- Pro party workers are likely to massively poll for a particular party or have done reboot polls. This is very probable in a party having cadre structure. If urban capture and youth dominance aswell happened (due to online acces) in the polls, results were certainty affected and favored Modi.

2. Non-response bias: - Sample may consists of more from the supporters of failing candidate than from from winning candidate.

3. Social -desirability bias :- People would have lied pollsters as they went with a populist trend eventhough not voted. Being Modi was projected as the single alternative for India and BJP successfully managed to market the theme with lots of emotional and nationalistic contents surpassing development in the absence of a unified opposition, there is no wonder to see Modi as the next PM. All credits to Amit Shah.

This time exit polls are likely to go wrong as all the three reasons potentially would have affected the polls.